Thursday, 16 November 2017

IAS Mains Exam 2018 GS study notes



US OIL EXPORTS TO INDIA

India is the third largest oil importer in the world.

Oil consumption in India grew by 8.3% in 2016 and the long-term trends show that India’s oil consumption grew by 4.9% per year in
the 2005–15 period.

As the oil consumption trend will accelerate in the coming years, India will soon overtake China in oil consumption.

India’s oil imports:

20% - Saudi Arabia
17% - Iraq
6% - Iran
16% - other west Asian nations
11% - Venezuela
11% - Nigeria
8% - other African nations

From the data above it is clear that Saudi Arabia and other west Asian nations are the largest suppliers of oil to India.

India is dependent to a large extent on oil production in West Asia by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting countries (OPEC).

To prevent the falling of oil prices still, OPEC nations deliberately cutting production of oil. OPEC nations are also collecting premium for the oil they supplied.

India opposed this move and to bring pressure on the oil cartel, India trying to look for new sources and diversify its imports basket.







US and Russia emerged as the largest and third largest oil producers, respectively, in recent years. India’s oil imports from these two countries stands out to be just 4 %.

In search of new sources for meeting of oil demand, India has struck a deal with the US for the shipment of Shale oil from the United states.

Indian companies have invested $ 5 billion in acquiring assets in the US shale oil and gas industry.

US oil industry is looking to make US an energy export powerhouse. It is because of the highly available sources of shale oil.

Heavy oil consumers like India is also seen as potential market for US oil producers.

Buying US crude became attractive especially after the differential between Brent (the benchmark crude or marker crude that serves as a reference price for buyers in western world) and Dubai (which serves as a benchmark for countries in the east) has narrowed. Even after including the shipping cost, buying US crude is cost competitive to Indian refiners.

The supply of US crude oil to India is part of larger convulsions in the global hydrocarbon industry caused by the shale revolution in the US which has led to the extraction of unconventional oil and gas through fracking i.e. cracking shale deposits deep underground with a combination of highly pressurised fresh water and chemicals.


India’s ability to develop its own shale oil market is very limited. Though Indian public sector oil companies like Oil India and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation have started drilling wells for
exploring the possibilities in shale gas and oil, the prospects are not very encouraging as available information so far indicates that its prospective reserves of shale oil and gas are even lower than
that of Pakistan.


The large-scale imports of light tight oil or shale oil from the US will throw up both new challenges and opportunities for
refiners. But this can be successfully overcome as done by US refiners who used new process designs and new generation catalysts to ensure optimum use of existing and new facilities and refine light tight oil.

Another important by-product of the growth of oil import from the US is that it will help correct the growing trade imbalance between the two countries to some extent.

A fall in trade surplus with the US in coming years following a pickup in US shale oil imports will hopefully correct this imbalance and help further boost economic and strategic relations between
the two countries.